By Eric Schmidt

The Atlanta Falcons came into the 2011 NFL regular season with high expectations, but stumbled out of the gate early alternating losses and wins for the first five weeks of the season. The demise of the Indianapolis Colts has been well documented, as the Colts without their benchmark quarterback, Peyton Manning have appeared to be the worst team in football.

How bad have the Colts been? Bad. Ranked 27th in offensive passing yardage, 22nd running the ball and 31st on defense trying to stop the run. The Colts are two weeks removed from being torched by Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints by a score of 62-7, in a game which it appeared the Saints likely could have scored 80 points if they so desired.

Atlanta has struggled on the road this season, barely escaping with a win in Seattle and losing to Chicago and Tampa Bay. The Falcons are coming off a bye this week, and the bye week has not been as advantageous as in years past. In All-time head-to-head matchups between these two teams, the Colts hold a 13-1 advantage and Atlanta is the only NFL team never to beat Indianapolis during the regular season.

I am going all in this week, because after the past two weeks in the NFL, you can pretty much take what you know and do the opposite in order to win.

Latest Line- Atlanta Falcons (-7) 45

I like the Falcons to win this game straight up, but ATS, take the Colts and the points, this is going to be a very close game. Indianapolis has nothing left to play for other than Andrew Luck and pride. I look for the Colts defensive line to pressure QB Matt Ryan and Colts WR Pierre Garcon to have a large day against a weak Falcons secondary.  Falcons win 27-24.

 

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