On paper, this game appears to be a mismatch. One team is 5th in the NFL rushing the ball and the other team is 25th against the run so the New York Jets should blow out the Buffalo Bills? No, the Bills are the team ranked fifth in the NFL running the ball and are currently sitting atop the AFC East, a half-game ahead of the New England Patriots while the Jets are the team struggling to find their identity this season.
Look at the New York Jets wins. An opening week win which should have been a loss until Cowboys QB Tony Romo throws another turnover late. A drubbing of a very poor Jacksonville Jaguars team starting Luke McCown at quarterback. A Monday night home victory over a dismal Miami Dolphins team and a win over a turnover prone San Diego Chargers team by 6 points.
All three losses for the 4-3 New York Jets? On the road.
Buffalo is running an explosive offense right now averaging over 31 points per game at home. Yes, Bills QB Ryan Fitzpatrick will have to face off against CB Darrelle Revis, but as soft as the Jets have been against the run on the road, the Buffalo offense should compensate for that strength.
Latest Line- Buffalo (-2.5) 45
The Bills exorcised one demon this season at home by defeating the New England Patriots and have not beaten the New York Jets in Buffalo since winning 17-14 in 2007. I like the Bills giving the points and the under in a Buffalo 23-19 win.