By Eric Schmidt

The countdown to the kickoff of the NFL season has reached 103 days until toe meets leather for the start of the 2012 regular season. On Thursday, the oddsmakers in Las Vegas issued their over and under win totals for the NFL teams for 2012. While you’ll likely have a hard time making a living defeating the Las Vegas sportsbooks, there are a few interesting wagering opportunities which have presented themselves with the odds which were released.

National Football Post published the odds and are linked here.

Green Bay Packers: 12 (Over: -125, Under: -105)
New England Patriots: 12 (Over: -120, Under: -110)
Houston Texans: 10 (Over: -140, Under: +110)
Philadelphia Eagles: 10 (Over: -135, Under: +105)
New Orleans Saints: 10 (Over: -125, Under: -105)
Pittsburgh Steelers: 10 (Over: -125, Under: -105)
Baltimore Ravens: 10 (Over: -110, Under: -120)
San Francisco 49ers: 10 (Over: +105, Under: -135)
Denver Broncos: 9.5 (Over: -110, Under: -120)
New York Giants: 9.5 (Over: -110, Under: -120)
Detroit Lions: 9.5 (Over: +105, Under: -135)
San Diego Chargers: 9 (Over: -130, Under: even)
Atlanta Falcons: 9 (Over: +105, Under: -135)
Chicago Bears: 8.5 (Over: -135, Under: +105)
Dallas Cowboys: 8.5 (Over: -125, Under: -105)
New York Jets: 8.5 (Over: -115, Under: -115)
Kansas City Chiefs: 8 (Over: -120, Under: -110)
Cincinnati Bengals: 7.5 (Over: -130, Under: even)
Carolina Panthers: 7.5 (Over: -115, Under: -115)
Miami Dolphins: 7.5 (Over: -110, Under: -120)
Tennessee Titans: 7 (Over: -130, Under: even)
Buffalo Bills: 7 (Over: -110, Under: -120)
Seattle Seahawks: 7 (Over: -110, Under: -120)
Oakland Raiders: 7 (Over: -110, Under: -120)
Arizona Cardinals: 7 (Over: -110, Under: -120)
Washington Redskins: 6.5 (Over: even, Under: -130)
St. Louis Rams: 6 (Over: -110, Under: -120)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 6 (Over: -110, Under: -120)
Minnesota Vikings: 6 (Over: even, Under: -130)
Cleveland Browns: 5.5 (Over: even, Under: -130)
Indianapolis Colts: 5.5 (Over: +105, Under: -135)
Jacksonville Jaguars: 5.5 (Over: +105, Under: -135)

If you are so inclined as to wager on these sorts of bets, I see six lines which are interesting to me. The Chicago Bears added some firepower this season, and I believe they are a 10-win team heading into next season, they have their initial line set at 8.5 wins.

The Buffalo Bills are flying under a lot of radars this offseason and while keeping the core of their offense together this offseason and adding Mario Williams on defense, Buffalo should challenge for a potential wild card berth next season, take the over on the Vegas line of 7 total wins.

The Cincinnati Bengals shocked the football world last season by reaching the playoffs with a rookie quarterback and Vegas set the over/under line at 7.5 wins. The Bengals had a solid draft and I’d be very surprised if they failed to win at least 9 games in 2012.

The Miami Dolphins start the season with Vegas predicting 7.5 wins. This is a Dolphins team which hasn’t recorded over 7 wins but twice in the last eight seasons. Lack of playmakers, quarterback issues, take the under for Miami next season.

The St. Louis Rams have compiled a 15-65 overall record in the last five seasons. Vegas opens their over/under at 6 games. The franchise added a veteran head coach with Jeff Fisher, and this is a club which I believe will rebound in 2012 under QB Sam Bradford’s leadership and go 7-9.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers were one of the most disappointing teams in the NFL last season after coming off a 10-6 record in 2010. The franchise replaced Raheem Morris with rookie head coach Greg Schiano. The team enjoyed a very busy free agency period and was regarded as having a successful draft in April. Flying under the radar is the fact that the Buccaneers could have assembled one of the most complete offensive lines this offseason. The Buccaneers are not ready for primetime, but 6-7 wins in 2012 is not an unreasonable estimate. 6 wins gives you a push against Vegas, while 7 gives you a win against the oddsmakers.

 

 

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