By Eric Schmidt

The NFL starts the fifth season of the regular season this afternoon. The Indianapolis Colts kicked off week five with managing a win over the Houston Texans as veteran QB Matt Hasselbeck lead his team to a second consecutive win in as many starts for the injured Andrew Luck. Several pregame reports suggested that Hasselbeck might not be able to finish the game after being hospitalized after last week’s win due to a bacterial infection. There are some challenging picks this weekend and to be honest, there are several games I wouldn’t touch this week. To see how the lines moved this week, you can check here. There are four home dogs this week.

NFL Week Five Picks and Predictions-

Jacksonville at Tampa Bay -3 O/U 41.5 Not understanding the fact Tampa is a home favorite. Tampa has not won at home in 11 games, or 650+ days. Conversely, Jacksonville has lost 11 straight road games. I am not buying anything Lovie Smith has done to this point in Tampa. The Buccaneers allow 137 yards per game to opposing teams on the ground. RB T.J Yeldon is a good play today as a RB2. Jacksonville 19 Tampa Bay 13

Buffalo at Tennessee +1 42 The Bills running back situation is decimated by injuries. Buffalo is 3rd overall against the run and 28th versus the pass defensively. I believe Bills TE Charles Clay should see a big game. I really like the over in this game. Buffalo 26 Tennessee 24

Cleveland at Baltimore -6.5  43 Ravens RB Justin Forsett is coming off a 150 yard performance against the Pittsburgh Steelers, he posts another great day against a Cleveland Browns team allowing 141 yards per game. The Ravens have massive receiving issues but Baltimore has the Browns number. Justin Tucker has a big game. Baltimore 22 Cleveland 14

Washington at Atlanta -7 48 The Falcons have been a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS so far this season. Washington is 5-12 ATS on the road since 2013. Atlanta 34 Washington 17

Chicago at Kansas City -9 45 This is one game that I really don’t like this week. Jay Cutler can sling the ball around against the 27th ranked Chiefs defense. Chiefs win in Arrowhead, but Chicago covers ATS. Kansas City 27 Chicago 26

New Orleans at Philadelphia -6 49.5 Another game I really don’t like. I’m leaning towards the Eagles, simply because QB Sam Bradford finally showed some life last week and the Saints do not play well on the road. Both teams have struggling defenses, so I love the over here. Philadelphia 31- New Orleans 20

St. Louis at Green Bay -9 46.5 Packers 8-1-1 ATS at home since last season. Rams playing second straight road game. Green Bay 31 St. Louis 17

Seattle at Cincinnati -3 43 Many pundits dismiss Bengals QB Andy Dalton, but the Cincinnati signal caller finally has all his weapons back and is playing at a high level currently. Bengals are 17-4-1 ATS at home in last 21 games. Seattle has issues at running back, TE Jimmy Graham doesn’t seem to be fitting in to the Seattle offense. Cincinnati 27 Seattle 20

Arizona at Detroit +3 46 While some are wondering if the New England Patriots can duplicate their 16-0 perfect season, fans in Detroit are tossing out the idea of the Detroit Lions repeating their 2008 season, when they went 0-16. Cardinals coming off a tough divisional game but get back on track this week. Arizona 30 Detroit 23

New England at Dallas +9 50.5 Bill Belichick coming off a bye week and facing Cowboys QB Brandon Weeden. New England 40 Dallas 17

Denver at Oakland +4 44 Denver 7-0 SU and ATS in the last 7 against the Oakland Raiders. Yes, Oaland has improved so far this season, but they aren’t ready to deal with the Broncos defense. Denver 31 Oakland 16

San Francisco at New York Giants -7 43.5 Could the Giants be poised to make a run at the up for grabs NFC East? QB Eli Manning put up three touchdowns on the road last week in Buffalo against a better Bills defense than San Francisco is fielding right now. West coast team coming east. New York Giants 34 San Francisco 16

Season record through this Thursday night, 44-18-2 ATS

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